Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.241552 0.278805 0.319683 0.367836 0.422984 0.484145 0.557097
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.193647 0.244747 0.305821 0.384078 0.481584 0.598969 0.750931
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.152432 0.209437 0.283122 0.385072 0.522203 0.699990 0.947731
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.121329 0.180195 0.262029 0.383590 0.559033 0.802465 1.165247
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.098438 0.157208 0.244630 0.383327 0.596939 0.912386 1.412291
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081569 0.139408 0.231042 0.385576 0.638304 1.033532 1.696186
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.069854 0.127177 0.223474 0.395327 0.692388 1.182087 2.046675
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.058631 0.113351 0.210518 0.393447 0.726573 1.303538 2.372623
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.051254 0.104805 0.204942 0.403060 0.781682 1.468031 2.797625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043418 0.093715 0.192564 0.397675 0.808176 1.585364 3.155970
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.038233 0.086828 0.186887 0.403970 0.857527 1.751625 3.630766
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032397 0.077328 0.174154 0.393543 0.871482 1.851246 3.990020
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029322 0.073418 0.172688 0.407157 0.938733 2.069807 4.629443
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026753 0.070157 0.172071 0.422604 1.012755 2.314032 5.361920
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023506 0.064545 0.165027 0.422024 1.050753 2.486701 5.965903
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020618 0.059216 0.157649 0.419283 1.083250 2.652076 6.579467
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018233 0.054696 0.151419 0.418239 1.119684 2.832029 7.255105
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016308 0.051024 0.146682 0.420171 1.163940 3.037279 8.023448
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014954 0.048709 0.145146 0.430411 1.231569 3.310119 9.001543
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013314 0.045151 0.139472 0.428130 1.265252 3.502084 9.801887
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.012280 0.043263 0.138247 0.438397 1.335478 3.799690 10.925301
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010891 0.039891 0.131943 0.432444 1.358438 3.974181 11.742110
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010004 0.038015 0.129900 0.439195 1.420076 4.264547 12.925316